💙 Gate Square #Gate Blue Challenge# 💙
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August 11 – 20, 2025
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According to the latest market dynamics on June 13, 2025, the big dump in the Crypto Assets market is mainly driven by the following reasons:
Geopolitical risks surge: Israel's attack on Iran has triggered a global risk-averse sentiment, with funds flowing into traditional safe-haven assets like gold and crude oil, leading to a sell-off of Crypto Assets.
Regulatory risks escalate: The Financial Stability Board (FSB) warns that Crypto Assets are approaching a systemic risk threshold, particularly emphasizing the risks of stablecoin runs, which exacerbate market panic.
Technical pullback pressure: Bitcoin has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (106,600 USD) within the day, MACD momentum is weakening, triggering long stop-losses and leveraged liquidations, with over 555 million USD liquidated across the network in 12 hours.
Macroeconomic disturbances: After the release of the US PPI data, the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to maintain aggressive interest rate hikes has increased, suppressing the valuations of risk assets.
Forecast for the next 12 hours:
Bitcoin (BTC): If it holds the key support at $105,000 (daily EMA30), a technical rebound to the resistance level of $106,500 may occur; if it breaks below, it could drop to $103,000.
Ethereum (ETH): Focus on the validity of the $2,580 support. If it breaks down, it may accelerate the fall towards the psychological barrier of $2,500. A rebound needs to stay above $2,650.
External variables: If the situation in the Middle East worsens or there are changes in the Federal Reserve's policy signals, it may further suppress market sentiment, which needs to be closely monitored.
It is recommended that investors control their positions (within 50%), set strict stop losses, focus on short-term swing trading, and avoid blindly bottom fishing.