BTC's trend tonight: Is there a "breakthrough signal" hidden in the fluctuations?

Don't rush to wait for a clear trend; tonight's key points are hidden in the details—

Currently, $114,400 is stuck in the middle of the consolidation range. Interestingly, after the Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the extreme on the 4-hour chart, the K-line has started to oscillate slightly around the middle band. This state of 'consolidation with decreasing volume' is often a precursor to a reversal, making it more worth monitoring than simply looking at support and resistance.

The MACD is flat near the zero line, but the fast and slow lines show slight signs of turning. Coupled with the RSI climbing back from the oversold zone to neutral (41.8), it indicates that short-term selling pressure is weakening, but the bulls have not yet gathered enough strength. The sentiment after the US stock market opens tonight is crucial: if the US tech stocks lead the way, BTC may take the opportunity to break the resistance at 115200 dollars; if the US stocks pull back, the support at 112800 dollars must withstand the first test.

Don't be superstitious about "必涨必跌". Tonight is more suitable to be an "observer": when breaking resistance, see if the trading volume follows (no volume means a false breakout); when testing support, see if there is a "long lower shadow" (which may be a stabilization signal). Short-term players should set stop-losses and try with light positions, while ordinary players might wait until the range clearly breaks before taking action. In a volatile market, chasing highs and selling lows is the worst approach.
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